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THE ECONOMICS of
INTEGRATED PASSIVE COMPONENT TECHNOLOGIES
An Ongoing Exploration of
A Life Cycle Cost Analysis
Don Brown, Director
Brown Consulting Group
1745 Appaloosa Rd.
Warrington, PA 18976 USA
TEL: 215-491-2113
FAX: 215-491-2115
Email: donbrown@iwpc.org
Presented at:
IMAPS 3rd Advanced Technology Workshop
on
Integrated Passives Technology
Denver, CO
April 17-18, 1998
Revision 2
INTRODUCTION
Passive components (resistors, capacitors and inductors) are used
widely in electronic circuits for:
- Energy storage
- Biasing
- Decoupling
- Terminating
- Networks (filters, antennas, etc.)
- Tuning (matching networks)
- Other functions
and are designed into a circuit as a function of:
- Frequency (analog (RF) and digital)
- Power
based on:
- Values
- Tolerance
- Size
- Volume
- Level of knowledge and experience of product design team
Historically, the vast majority of passive functions have been
discrete components mounted with leads into holes or surface mounted to a circuit board or
substrate.
Recently, there has been a lot of interest in integrating these
functions into or onto electronic structures. These integrated passive functions can be
constructed in various ways, such as:
- On-chip
- Multiple value discrete passive components (arrays) mounted onto
boards or substrates
- Built into the board or substrate structure
- Built into the active device package
- Combinations of the above
The central questions are:
What are the overall "life cycle" economics for these
various "integrated" passive structures?
and
Who, in the supplier "food chain", is best suited to
provide these structures:
- Active device manufacturer
- Device package manufacturer and/or package assembler
- "Traditional" passive component supplier
- Circuit board/substrate fabrication shops
for which applications:
- Low speed digital (< 100 MHz)
- High speed digital (>> 100 MHz)
- Low frequency RF (< 1000 MHz)
- High frequency RF (>> 1000 MHz)
This Life Cycle Cost Analysis attempts to take ALL cost
factors into account, not just the materials and manufacturing costs so often used in cost
analysis.
These Life Cycle Cost Factors include:
- Market Place Opportunity Costs
- Design/Development Costs
- Materials Costs
- Manufacturing Costs
- Overhead Costs
- Field Repair (Warranty) Costs
- Product Liability Costs
- End-of-Life Costs
There are as many different technologies and materials for
accomplishing integrated passive structures, as there are people and companies looking at
doing it. Therefore, this presentation will NOT attempt to evaluate each of them, but
rather provide some guidelines for evaluating which technologies are best suited for which
applications and why.
The overall economics analysis depends if you are the component
supplier, the assembly house or the OEM.
A STARTING THOUGHT
Years ago, the famous Statesman, Thomas "Tip"
ONeil was quoted as saying:
"All politics is local"
Speaker of the House, Representative Thomas
"Tip" ONeil, Dem., Massachusetts
by analogy
"All technology cost analysis is local"
(the NOT famous) Don Brown
The point is, before a new technology is considered to be
economically viable, it must be evaluated taking into account ALL of the engineering,
infrastructure, experiential and available knowledge factors, at that point in time, by
that particular design/manufacturing management team for a particular product or series of
products.
A LOOK BACK AT THE "GOOD OLD DAYS" OF SURFACE MOUNT
TECHNOLOGY
In the early 80s when surface mount technology was starting to
take deep root in our industry, what was it that created such interest in widely adopting
it? For sure, it wasn't component cost. In fact, in those days, surface mount components
were many times more expensive than through-hole components and new surface mount assembly
equipment costs were off the charts.
In the early days, the author sat in on and presented countless
papers on why surface mount technology was so important to consider.
There were two main reasons:
- The obvious reason Smaller Size -- Physical size of a
surface mount assembly was ½ to 2/3s the size of its through hole equivalent
hence it created new markets and new products not possible before. (Smaller size
often meant fewer boards and fewer board-to-board interconnect costs and reliability)
- The not so obvious reason Lower Overhead Costs --
Companies were able to build more units in the same or less factory floor space
hence allowing companies to increase production levels without adding more expensive
"brick & mortar".
Some important secondary reasons:
- It provided better electrical performance, because of shorter
conductor paths.
- In theory, it was a more reliable solder joint. (All of the data had
not yet been collected at that time.)
- In theory, it would provide improved overall yields. (Among other
things, NO bent leads.)
As time went on, the cost of the components, assembly equipment and
all of the other infrastructure came down, where today, in most cases, it is less
expensive to build a surface mount assembly than a through hole assembly.
That whole "infrastructure build-out" process took more
than 10-15 years.
By analogy -- what are the reasons that will make integrated
passives become a commercial success in the short term and the long term?
Below, we will look at each of the Life Cycle Cost factors to see
where the "killer opportunities" may be hiding, and we will look at the economic
comparisons of 2 very specific examples.
LIFE CYCLE COST FACTORS
MARKET PLACE
OPPORTUNITY COSTS |
General
Comments |
| Time to Market |
Depending on the product and
market, each month late to market could be worth Millions of dollars in lost sales or
competitive positioning. |
| Performance Improvements |
Could create whole new products
and/or markets. |
| Size Reduction |
Could create whole new products
and/or markets. |
| Real & Perceived
Reliability Improvements |
Could create whole new products
and/or markets. |
DESIGN COSTS |
|
| Design Tools (cost and
availability) |
Might require $10,000s to
$100,000;s of new design tools and/or tool development. |
| Designer Training |
1,000s to $10,000s of
training PER designer. |
| Libraries of Integrated
Components |
Costs depend on who builds
the library (at $10,000s to $100,000s per library) and how they make this
library available. NOTE: In one case, a company spent more
than $1M to develop a comprehensive RF equivalent circuit library -giving them the
ability to design it and build it right the 1st time, nearly every time. |
| Infrastructure Shift (who will
do the design work with integrated passives) |
To be determined. |
| Design for Test (new rules and
new equipment |
Part of the design and library
development process costs. |
| "Oops" Factor |
How many design revisions are
required for a less flexible, more integrated technology? |
| Prototyping Costs |
For RF products, each design
revision costs $10,000s to $100,000s. |
MATERIALS
COSTS |
|
| Component cost |
Integrated passive components
will probably cost more per function. |
| Package cost |
Product specific. |
| Board or substrate cost |
Product specific. |
Not
Needing Misc. "Non-Functional" Parts, such as shields, etc. |
The use of integrated passives
could provide real cost savings by reducing the need for misc. parts. |
MANUFACTURING
COSTS |
|
| Yield Effects |
~80% of board assembly defects
are related to solder joint problems integrated passives have fewer solder joints,
hence will increase board assembly yields and reduce costs. |
| Assembly Line Setup Time |
Fewer feeders and fewer
components speed up assembly line setup time. |
| Capital Equipment Utilization
Factor |
The assembly line can be
better balanced between chip shooters and IC placement equipment. Also with fewer parts to assemble per board, (between 30-80% fewer
placements) production rates can increase significantly, hence one can build more units in
less time. |
Equipment Costs
- Placement equipment
- Feeders
- Testing
|
Need fewer high speed passive
chip shooters, fewer expensive feeders and less expensive clam-shell test fixtures with
fewer test points. |
| Assembled Wrong Part (Yield) |
Fewer parts assembled will
increase yield due to misplacements or wrong part or wrong polarity placement. |
OVERHEAD
COSTS |
|
| Inventory Purchase Management |
Savings between $1,500 to $3,000
per year per part number to manage components. (based on informal survey) |
| Floor & Shelf Space |
Fewer parts require less costly
space |
| Inspection, >= 0? |
Integrated passives are
built into the chip, package or board/substrate, and therefore, may NOT require an
incoming inspection. On the other hand, depending on the
situation, they might require an even more expensive incoming inspection than simple
discrete passive components. |
| Component Obsolescence |
Fewer discrete parts to go
unused a real cost saving. However, if you have unused
integrated passives, they are less likely to be used for future designs and since they
cost more, this left over inventory actually costs more. |
FIELD REPAIR
(WARRANTY) COSTS |
|
| Disposable Electronics (throw
away cant repair) |
Integrated passives do NOT allow
for component level repair in the field hence, need to design more expensive
"throw away" modules. Many products today are not field repaired anyway, so this
will have no effect, but those high end products might require more expensive modules than
before. |
| Modularity of Design (design
throw away modules) |
Requires a re-think of the design
partitioning. What should be repaired and what should be thrown away? |
| Improved Reliability
(Elimination of Solder Joints) |
However, fewer solder joints
improve reliability. |
PRODUCT
LIABILITY COSTS |
|
| Product recall costs due to
insufficient reliability data of a new "unproven" technology |
Potentially $ Millions of dollars
of risk. |
| Litigation costs for damage or
injury from new "unproven" technology |
Potentially $ Millions of dollars
of risk. |
| END OF LIFE COSTS |
|
| Spare Parts |
Difficult to manage
"custom" parts Vs "catalog parts. Therefore, must
order more "spare parts" to be manufactured initially, because it may be harder
to manufacture spare parts at a later date, with custom integrated passives. |
| "Green" Costs |
Unless toxic materials are used,
probably not a factor |
EXAMPLES A "First Order" Evaluation
Example 1
100 "0603" terminating resistors on a 6
layer digital computer board
| |
Single value
discretes mounted on board |
Multi-value array
mounted on board
(hypothetically assumes a 16 resistor array in SO32
pkg. @ $0.10 each) |
Crazy
Idea
A highly specific example not
necessarily a general design solution.
Multi-value array mounted in device package
(hypothetically assumes 16 resistors in the device
package with unused pins) |
| Materials costs |
100 x $0.002 = $0.20 |
7 x $0.10 = $0.70 |
7 x $0.09 = $0.63 |
| |
|
|
|
| Conversion costs (cost to assemble components onto board) |
100 x $0.02 = $2.00 |
7 x $0.03+ = $0.21 |
No additional assembly cost beyond placing
the active components |
| Sub total |
$2.20 |
$0.91 |
$0.63 (worst case) |
| |
|
|
|
| Other costs |
|
|
|
| Time to market |
Fastest |
As fast, if device is a catalog item |
Slower, might require a custom package |
| Design/development |
Fastest |
As fast, if device is a catalog item |
Depends on ability of package house |
| Feeders |
Most feeders depends on component
value distribution |
Fewer feeders depends on component
value distribution |
None |
| Machine set up time |
Longest |
In-between |
Fastest fewest feeder &
programming steps |
| Capital equipment utilization |
Need fast chip shooters to support slower
IC placement |
In-between |
Only needs IC placement equipment |
| Yield (effected by # of solder joints) |
Lowest |
In-between |
Highest |
| Rework costs |
Highest |
In-between |
Least |
| Board area consumed |
Largest (~0.36 in 2) (.6"
x .6") |
In-between (~0.2 in 2) |
Smallest (~0 in 2) |
| Design flexibility |
Maximum |
In-between |
Least |
| |
|
|
|
What
are the economics from the point of view of: |
| OEM |
- Fastest time to market all discrete catalog items
- Maximum design flexibility
- $2.20 materials + assembly cost
- Largest size board required (0.36 in 2 x $0.45 in 2 =
$.16)
- $2.36 (board + components + assembly)
|
- Nearly the same time to market as all single value discretes
if array products are catalog items
- Less design flexibility
- $0.91 materials + assembly cost
- requires less board area (0.2 in 2 x $0.45 in 2
= $0.09)
- $1.00 (board + components + assembly)
|
- Slowest time to market (requires custom to semi-custom chip package)
- Minimum design flexibility
- $0.63 added materials cost
- Smallest size board (near $0 additional cost)
- $.63 (board + components + assembly)
|
| Contract Assembly House |
Markup on $0.20 worth of component
materials (~<10%) +
Markup on $0.16 worth of circuit board material
+
Margin on 100 placements (~<10%) |
Markup on $0.70 worth of component
materials +
Markup on $0.09 worth of circuit board material
+
Margin on 7 placements |
Markup on $0.63 worth of materials (added
cost to packages) +
margin on 0 placements |
| Passive Component Supplier |
Margin on $0.20 worth of materials |
Margin on $0.70 worth of materials |
Margin on $0.63 worth of materials added
to IC package |
Example 2
Hand Set Power Amplifier Function
With matching networks mounted on the board
2 L-C poles on input & 2 L-C poles on output on 4
layer board
| |
Single value discretes
mounted on board |
Matching network array
mounted on board |
Matching Network built
in-package |
| Materials costs Matching Network Components Only
Not including the Power Amplifier device itself |
4 Cs @ $0.01 = $0.04 4 Ls @ $0.10 = $0.40 |
1 array with 4 Cs and 4 Ls
using thin film on alumna @ $12 per sq. inch @ .05 sq. inches = $.60 |
Overmolded PA pkg. SOIC, 16 pin ~ $0.16
(mtrls + assy) (with no passives) And
LTCC pkg. with air cavity & built-in matching network, 16 lead ~
$.66
Differential Cost: $.50 |
| |
|
|
|
| Conversion costs (cost to assemble components onto board) |
8 x $0.02 = $0.16 |
1 x $0.03 = $0.03 |
No additional assembly cost beyond placing
the active components |
| Sub total |
$0.60 |
$0.63 |
$0.50 |
| |
|
|
|
| Other costs |
|
|
|
| Time to market |
fastest |
As fast, if device is a catalog item |
Slower, might require a custom package |
| Design/development |
Fastest |
As fast, if device is a catalog item |
Depends on ability of package house |
| Feeders |
Most |
Fewer |
None |
| Machine set up time |
Longest |
Slower |
Fastest |
| Capital equipment utilization |
Least |
|
Most |
| Yield (effected by # of solder joints) |
Lowest |
In-between |
Highest |
| Board area consumed |
Largest 4
1210 Ls = .012 sq. inches x 2 for clearance = .024 sq. inches x 4 units = .096 sq.
inches
4 0402 Cs = .0008 sq. inches each x 2 for clearance = .0016
sq. inches x 4 = .0064 sq. inches
total: 0.1 sq. inches (.32 x .32") |
0.05 sq. inches + 50% clearance = .075 sq.
inches
Total: 0.075 sq. inches (.27" x .27") |
No additional board space required. |
| Design flexibility |
Maximum |
In-between |
Least |
| Post assembly tuning |
Some depends on tolerances of
overall system |
Minimum thin film can provide
precise values |
Some at this point in LTCC
development, precision values are difficult to achieve. |
What
are the economics from the point of view of: |
| OEM |
- Fastest time to market all discrete catalog items
- Maximum design flexibility
- $0.60 materials + assembly cost
- Largest size board (0.31 in 2 x $0.30 in 2 =
$.09)
- $0.69 (board + components + assembly)
|
- Nearly the same time to market as all single value discretes
if array products are catalog items
- Less design flexibility
- $0.63 materials + assembly cost
- requires less board area (0.05 in 2 x 50% for clearance x
$0.30 in 2 = $0.022)
- $0.65 (board + components + assembly)
|
- Slowest time to market (requires custom to semi-custom chip package)
- Minimum design flexibility
- $0.50 added materials cost
- Smallest size board (near $0 additional cost)
- $0.50 (board + components + assembly)
|
| Contract Assembly House |
Markup on $0.44 worth of component
materials +
Markup on $0.09 worth of circuit board material
+
Margin on 16 placements |
Markup on $0.60 worth of component
materials +
Markup on $0.02 worth of circuit board material
+
Margin on 1 placement |
Markup on $0.50 worth of materials +
margin on 0 placements |
| Passive Component Supplier |
Margin on $0.44 worth of materials |
Margin on $0.60 worth of materials |
Margin on $0.50 differential worth of
materials |
CONCLUSIONS
& MORE QUESTIONS TO POSE AT THIS STAGE OF THE
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS JOURNEY
- There is NO single conclusion for this subject. Any thoughtful
economic conclusion must take ALL of the life cycle, product and infrastructure costs into
account for a particular case. Remember All technology cost analysis is local.
- Who will provide these new passive structures?
-- Traditional passive component suppliers who will turn into package suppliers or
-- package suppliers who turn into passive component suppliers or
-- PCB board shops who will turn into passive component suppliers?
- Summary of our two examples:
Our Hypothetical Examples
|
Single value discrete
chip components |
Arrays of passive
components |
Passive components
constructed inside the active component package |
100 terminating
resistors mounted onto a 6 layer digital computer board |
$2.36 |
$1.00 57% savings |
$0.63 73% * savings |
4 L-C pole matching
network for power amplifier mounted onto a 4 layer cell phone board |
$0.69 |
$0.65 6% savings |
$0.50 27% savings |
(*) Yes, Virginia this is a highly specialized example
but the point we are trying to make is that the more you integrate at the design level,
the higher the likely cost savings.
Each application requires its own comparative analysis.
NOTE: TO GET A COMPLETE COST ANALYSIS FOR A PARTICULAR PRODUCT
AND SITUATION -- ALL OF THE OTHER LIFE CYCLE COST FACTORS MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.
In general, we CAN say:
- Design tools are a limiting factor to decrease time to market for
anything but the simplest structure.
The major tradeoffs are:
- More passive integration offers:
-- lowest overall cost
-- longer time to market
-- requiring more designer training
-- with higher materials costs + lower assembly costs and
-- better electrical performance, especially at higher frequencies
-- which requires closer communication between layers of the supplier food chain,
-- which has historically been difficult to do
-- with higher risk.
- Less passive integration offers:
-- higher overall cost
-- faster time to market with
-- lower component costs + higher circuit board costs + higher manufacturing costs, and
-- lower risk
- From a contract assembly point of view
-- More passive
integration will lead to substantially fewer placements for the contract assembly houses.
An open question is: how they will see this effecting their overall business model which
now collects a "fee" per placement?
However, this placement fee reduction may be offset because
increased integration may lead to more jobs per production line per day, because of fewer
placements and faster machine setups between jobs with less rework.
And, if more passive integration leads to lower overall costs and
physically smaller products, the demand for these products may increase, requiring higher
levels of production overall for the industry.
- As a result of lower cost, increased performance and smaller size,
integrated passives will open up a whole new world of product opportunities, based on the
customers demands for smaller, lighter, faster and less expensive products which will lead
to lower costs for integrated passives.
- The tighter the tolerances held on RF matching networks, the less
post assembly tuning is required, hence, lower overall costs.
- With the advent of quick turn package assembly houses, the ability to
"design-in" passive networks into packages is becoming economically possible.
- The use of integrated passives is application specific. The designer
is obligated to choose the best set of materials, design and manufacturing solutions.
Where to use integrated and discrete passives is a designer decision.
- Whoever has the most to gain, will push for the development and
deployment of various integrated passives solutions.
And the exploration
continues
Don Brown
For nearly 20 years, Don Brown has consulted with the electronics
industry, worldwide, on topics of electronics packaging, interconnection and assembly.
He has authored or co-authored dozens of papers, trade press
articles, reports and books and has lectured, worldwide.
Was awarded 3 US patents on microelectronics assembly and materials.
As Director, the Brown Consulting Group specializes in market
research, business development and product development to the electronics industry, with
clients, worldwide.
During the last 2 years, the Brown Consulting Group has created a
consortium of companies to study:
"The Future Economics of Wireless
and RF Communications Packaging "
The consortiums goal is to find ways to improve
performance and reduce costs of wireless and RF packaging.
He can be contacted at:
TEL: 215-491-2113
FAX: 215-491-2115
Email: donbrown@iwpc.org
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